CO 2013 Flood

How did the weather forecast models do?

Concerning timing, location and magnitude of heavy rainfall, the weather forecast models varied widely in their predictions and missed the mark. Encouragingly, the Short Range Ensemble Forecast or SREF model predicted up to 8 inches of rain, but it’s timing was early. Even so, the models identified an impending wetter than normal weather pattern more than a week in advance, allowing forecasters to take action that likely saved many lives.



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